Understanding Risk and Return in Single Stock Investments

Learning Objectives

After completing this lecture, you will understand the following topics:

  • Introduction to Risk
  • Risk and Return for Single Stock Investments

Before discussing this important topic, let’s review the areas of finance we have studied so far.

Part I: Introduction and Capital Budgeting

  • Financial Markets, Concepts, Definitions
  • Review of Accounting
  • Interest Rate Theory and Calculations
  • Investment Decisions: Net Present Value (NPV) (Valuation), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Payback
  • Capital Budgeting:
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Key Financial Ratios and Their Significance

Net Capital Ratios (Expressed in Days)

  • Days Receivable = (Accounts Receivable / Sales) x 365
  • Days Inventory = (Inventory / Cost of Goods Sold) x 365
    • Indicates how many days a product takes to be totally sold.
  • Days Payable = (Accounts Payable / Purchases) x 365
    • Indicates the average time (in days) that a company takes to pay its bills and invoices to its trade creditors.
    • A high (low) DP indicates that a company is paying its suppliers slower (faster).
  • Operating Cycle = Days Inventory + Days Receivable
    • Average
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Fixed Income Derivatives: Forwards, Futures, and Swaps

Introduction to Fixed Income Derivatives

1. Introduction

A derivative is a security whose value depends on the value of another security. Hedgers include oil producers, farmers, and other commodity producers.

2. Over-the-Counter Markets (OTC)

A decentralized market where dealers are connected through telephone, the internet, and proprietary electronic trading systems (for forwards and swaps).

  • Advantages: Terms of contracts are privately negotiated.
  • Disadvantages: Counterparty risk.

3. Exchange-Traded Markets

A

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Investment Decisions: NPV, IRR, and Discounted Cash Flow

Chapter 8: NPV and Other Investment Criteria

NPV = PV – Initial Investment

A positive NPV means that the project is expected to add value to the firm and, therefore, will increase the wealth of the owner. Accept a project if NPV > 0.

IRR: The project’s expected return. If the cost of capital (required return) equals the IRR (expected return), the NPV = 0. A project’s IRR is the discount rate that makes its NPV = 0. Accept the project if the IRR is greater than r (the project’s cost of capital).

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Stock Returns, Risk, and Portfolio Management

Stock Returns and Risk Premium

1. Calculating Percentage Return on a Stock

What is the percentage return on a stock that was purchased for $50.00, paid a $3.00 dividend after one year, and was then sold for $49.00?

Formula: % Return = (Capital Gain + Dividend) / Initial Share Price

= ($49.00 – $50.00) + $3.00 / $50.00

= 4.00%

2. Calculating Inflation Rate

If a share of stock provided a 14.0% nominal rate of return over the previous year while the real rate of return was 6.0%, then the inflation rate was:

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Eurocurrency, Forex, EMS, Derivatives, and Options

Eurocurrency and the Eurodollar

A Eurocurrency is a claim (e.g., time deposit) in that currency held by a nonresident of the currency’s country of origin. Since the Eurodollar is the major Eurocurrency, it is a U.S. dollar claim arising from a dollar‑denominated deposit, note, or bond held by a nonresident of the United States.

The LIBOR (London Interbank Offer Rate) fixing is the base rate in the Eurocurrency market. (Offer Rate = Ask Rate) It represents the average rate at which leading multinational

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