Macroeconomic Concepts: From Paradox of Thrift to Exchange Rate Systems
Paradox of thrift
The paradox of thrift, a key concept in Keynesian economics, illustrates a scenario where increased individual saving, while rational and beneficial on a personal level, can have adverse effects on the overall economy if practiced widely, especially during a recession. When many people start saving more and spending less, aggregate demand for goods and services decreases. This reduced consumption leads businesses to lower production, which results in layoffs and higher unemployment. Consequently, the overall income in the economy declines, further reducing consumption and savings, thereby creating a self-reinforcing cycle of economic contraction. For example, during a recession, if households collectively decide to save more and cut back on spending, it can deepen the economic downturn by reducing business revenues and increasing unemployment. Therefore, the paradox of thrift highlights the conflict between individual financial prudence and macroeconomic stability, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach to saving and spending to avoid exacerbating economic recessions.
Cambridge cash balance theory
The Cambridge cash balance theory, developed by economists such as Alfred Marshall, A.C. Pigou, and John Maynard Keynes, explains the demand for money as a function of nominal income rather than just the price level. According to this theory, individuals hold a portion of their wealth in money not only for transactions but also as a form of wealth. The Cambridge equation, \( M_d = k \cdot PY \), illustrates that the demand for money (\( M_d \)) depends on nominal income (PY), where \( P \) is the price level and \( Y \) is real national income, and \( k \) is the proportion of income people wish to hold as cash balances. This proportion, or cash ratio (\( k \)), reflects preferences for liquidity and convenience. The theory underscores that as the economy grows and nominal income increases, the demand for money rises proportionally. Unlike the Quantity Theory of Money, which focuses on the relationship between money supply and price levels, the Cambridge approach emphasizes individual preferences in money demand, highlighting its sensitivity to changes in income and price levels. This perspective aids in understanding how economic fluctuations and monetary policies influence money holding behavior and overall economic stability.
liquidity trap
A liquidity trap is a situation in monetary economics where nominal interest rates are very low and savings become insensitive to interest rate changes. In this scenario, despite low interest rates, monetary policy (such as central bank efforts to stimulate the economy by lowering interest rates) becomes ineffective in stimulating demand and encouraging investment.
GDP deflator
The GDP deflator is a measure of price inflation or deflation in an economy. It reflects the changes in the price level of all domestically produced goods and services in an economy. The formula for the GDP deflator is:
GDP Deflator= Nominal GDP\Real GDP*100
– **Nominal GDP** is the market value of goods and services produced in an economy, unadjusted for inflation.
– **Real GDP** is the market value of goods and services produced in an economy, adjusted for inflation.
The GDP deflator provides a comprehensive index of price changes in the economy and is used to distinguish between nominal and real economic growth.
What will be the effect of increase in government expenditure when the speculative demand for money is insensitive to change in rate of interest?
In this case, the economy runs with a very high rate of interest. The speculative demand for money gets insensitive with respect to change in rate of interest, so the highest card gets vertical at the initial rate of interest R0 the output level is Y0 with expansionary fiscal policy. The equilibrium output level rises to.Y1 at the initial rate of interest. The new point.E0′ lies to the right of LM curve.
Those their exist exist demand for money. People sell out their bonds due to excess supply in the bonds market. The bond prices fall and rate of interest increases the equilibrium E1 is achieved at rate of interest R1 but the output level falls to Y0 in this case, the crowd out level is maximum.
Dirty float
Under a managed exchange rate regime, expansionary monetary policy involves increasing the money supply and lowering interest rates to stimulate economic growth. This reduction in interest rates makes borrowing cheaper, encouraging investment and consumption, but also leads to capital outflows as foreign investors seek higher returns elsewhere. These outflows put downward pressure on the domestic currency, causing it to depreciate. In a managed float system, the central bank may intervene in the foreign exchange market to prevent excessive depreciation or volatility by buying or selling foreign currencies. This intervention helps to stabilize the currency while allowing some market-driven adjustments, thereby supporting the domestic economy’s growth objectives without allowing extreme fluctuations in the exchange rate.
The IS curve represent all possible combination of income and real interest rate so that the commodity market is in equilibrium at every point of the I S curve. The demand for the good is equal to the supply of goods.
The highest curve is negative slope. If the rate of interest falls, the level of investment increases increase in investment increases. The output level through multiplier effect so y has to increase to ensure sufficient saving is generated to balance the new level of investment
What is transfer income give to examples are this included in NI accounting?
-Transfer income refers to income received without a corresponding exchange of goods or services. This kind of income is typically received as a form of financial assistance, where the recipient does not provide anything in return. Examples of transfer income include:
1. **Social Security Benefits**: Payments made to retired or disabled individuals by the government.
2. **Unemployment Benefits**: Payments made to individuals who are currently unemployed and looking for work.
Transfer incomes are not included in the calculation of National Income (NI). National Income accounts for the total value of goods and services produced in an economy, and transfer incomes do not represent production but rather the redistribution of existing income. Therefore, while they affect individuals’ incomes and can influence economic behavior, they are not considered part of the national income calculations.
Explain per capital income as an index of economic development
– Per capita income is a measure of the average income earned per person in a given area (typically a country or region) over a specified period, usually a year. It is calculated by dividing the total income of a country by its total population. Per capita income is often used as an index of economic development because it provides insights into the average standard of living within a population. Higher per capita income generally indicates higher levels of economic prosperity, greater purchasing power, and better access to goods and services.
What do you mean by inventory investment?
– Inventory investment refers to the change in the value of a firm’s inventories over a certain period. It represents the difference between the amount of goods produced or purchased and the amount of goods sold or consumed during that period. Essentially, it reflects the investment made by a firm in maintaining or increasing its inventory levels. Inventory investment is an important component of overall investment in an economy and can have significant implications for production levels, sales, and economic growth.
Short note on Value added method of estimating national income
– Value-added refers to the addition in the value of a raw material or intermediate good by an organisation during the production process. To calculate the national income through the value-added method, the difference between the value of output and the value of intermediate goods is taken.
2. Real vs Nominal GDP
– A distinction between nominal GDP and real GDP allows us to measure the actual change introduction, separate, and apart from any price changes that may have occurred in the economy during the year.
Saving-investment equality is a core principle in macroeconomics, asserting that total saving within an economy must equal total investment. This concept is derived from the national income identity, where the total income (Y) equals the sum of consumption (C), investment (I), and government spending (G). By rearranging the identity, we find that total saving (S), which is income not spent on consumption or government spending, equals investment (I), i.E., S=Y−C−GS=Y−C−G. This equality is crucial in a closed economy, highlighting that all saved resources are utilized for productive investments, thereby driving economic growth. In open economies, the principle adjusts to include net exports, but the fundamental relationship between saving and investment remains pivotal for understanding resource allocation and economic development.
Circular flow of income (two sector economy/three sector economy)
– The circular flow of income represents the continuous movement of money and goods/services between households and firms in an economy. In a two-sector economy, there are two main actors: households and firms. In a three-sector economy, there is an additional sector, usually represented by the government. Here’s a brief overview of both:
**Two-Sector Economy:**
1. **Households**: Households provide factors of production (such as labor, land, and capital) to firms in exchange for income (wages, rent, interest, and profits).
2. **Firms**: Firms use these factors of production to produce goods and services. They pay incomes to households in return for their services.
3. **Flow of Money**: Households spend their income on goods and services produced by firms. This spending creates revenue for firms.
4. **Flow of Goods and Services**: Firms produce goods and services which are then purchased by households. This completes the circular flow as households consume what firms produce.
**Three-Sector Economy (with Government):**
1. **Households**: Similar to the two-sector economy, households provide factors of production and receive income.
2. **Firms**: Firms produce goods and services, paying incomes to households.
3. **Government**: The government collects taxes from households and firms. It then spends money on goods and services (such as infrastructure, education, and healthcare), and it also provides transfer payments (like welfare, subsidies, etc.).
4. **Flow of Money**: Besides the flow between households and firms, there is also a flow of money between households and the government. Households pay taxes to the government, and the government spends money on goods, services, and transfer payments.
5. **Flow of Goods and Services**: Firms still produce goods and services, and households still consume them. Additionally, the government may purchase goods and services, directly or indirectly, from firms.
In both economies, the circular flow continues uninterrupted, with money and goods/services continuously exchanged between the sectors, ensuring economic activity and income generation.
Problem of double counting
* The problem of double counting occurs when the same transaction is counted more than once in the calculation of GDP (Gross Domestic Product). It leads to an overestimation of the value of goods and services produced within an economy.
* For example, if a farmer sells wheat to a miller, and then the miller sells flour to a baker, who finally sells bread to consumers, counting the value of the wheat, flour, and bread separately would result in double counting. This is because the value of the wheat is already included in the value of the flour, and the value of the flour is already included in the value of the bread.
GNP deflator
– The gross national product deflator is an economic metric that accounts for the effects of inflation in the current year’s gross national product (GNP) by converting its output to a level relative to a base period.
Discuss the effect of expansionary, fiscal and monetary policy under imperfect capital, mobility and flexible exchange rate
i) expansionary, monetary policy, flexible exchange rate
With expansionary monetary policy, LM curve shifts to the right and new temporary Librium is achieved at point E1 where BOP deficit take place, domestic currency, depreciate net exports increases due to increase in export and reduction in imports IS curve shifts to right from IS1 TO IS2 and equilibrium is achieved at point E2 in this case, monetary policy is fully effective
ii) expansionary, fiscal policy, flexible exchange rate
With expansionary fiscal policy, IS curve shifts to the right with temporary equilibrium E1 the domestic currency starts, creating imports level increases as a result, net exports decreases IS shifts to its original position. In this case, Vis policy is ineffective.
Discuss the advantage of fixed exchange rate
i) fluctuation in the exchange rate causes a large amount of uncertainty in the production and investment plan of the form. This is the exchange rate, risk of foreign trade, import plans of household will also be reduced by unexpected change in the price level causes by unstable exchange rate, exchange rate, volatility, add to the uncertainty in production consumption search and present situation can be controlled by use of forward exchange contract, but hedging does not eliminate this completely
ii) when banks and forms borrow heavily from the international market, a shad appreciation of the currency puts them in severe financial financial debt. During the Asian crisis. This type of adverse situation leads to wide spread bankruptcy.
A.Distinguish between NNP at market price and NNP at factor cost
•NNP at market price: This measures the total market value of all final goods and services produced within a country’s borders during a specific time period, including depreciation. It includes indirect taxes (taxes on production and imports) and excludes subsidies.
* NNP at factor cost: This measures the net output of the economy after deducting the consumption of fixed capital (depreciation) from the gross national product. It does not include indirect taxes but includes subsidies.
B. Distinguish between GDP and GNP
•Gross Domestic Product (GDP): GDP measures the total value of all final goods and services produced within a country’s borders over a specific time period, regardless of the nationality of the producers.
* Gross National Product (GNP): GNP measures the total value of all final goods and services produced by the residents of a country, regardless of where they are located, in a specific time period. It includes GDP plus the net income earned from abroad (income earned by residents from foreign investments minus income earned by foreigners from domestic investments).
C. What is the difference between intermediate goods & final goods and services?
•Intermediate goods: These are goods used as inputs in the production of other goods or services. They are not the final product sold to consumers. Examples include raw materials, components, and semi-finished goods.
* Final goods and services: These are goods and services that are purchased by the end consumer for consumption or investment purposes. They are ready for consumption and are not used as inputs for further production.
D. What are the principal differences between government purchases of goods & services and transfer payments?
•Government purchases of goods & services: These are expenditures made by the government to buy goods and services for current use or for capital investment. They include spending on items such as infrastructure projects, defense equipment, and salaries of government employees. These purchases directly contribute to economic output.
* Transfer payments: These are payments made by the government to individuals, businesses, or other levels of government without receiving any goods or services in return. They are typically made to redistribute income or wealth, provide assistance to those in need, or support specific groups or activities. Examples include social security benefits, welfare payments, and unemployment benefits.
Discuss the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy under flexible exchange rate and perfect capital mobility
Flexible exchange rate, fiscal policy
In this case, the IS curve moves to the right from IS1 TO IS2 driving the domestic interest rate to r1 above r* the emergency of this interest differential causes a massive capital inflow and the rupee appreciates. This causes are declined in net export and the IS curve ship back to the left equilibrium will be restored only when it has shifted back to its original position E1 will be the equilibrium. Their output is back to its original position. Action is completely ineffective. Crowding out occurs only through a rise in interest rate, but also a fall in net export due to currency appreciation.
Flexible exchange monetary policy
In this case, increase in money supply shifts the LM curve to the right, it causes the rate of interest to drop to r1 massive capital outflow starts since the domestic reserve bank doesn’t intervene the rupee. Depreciation net exports increases due to increase in export and reduction in imports. IS curve shifts to the right final equilibrium is achieved at point. E2 with r=r* monetary policy has maximum impact on output
Mundel Flemming model
Here we consider the mobility of financial asset. It is an open economy model V. Assume there are only two asset number one domestic bond with a rate of return ‘r’and foreign bond with rate of return ‘r*’ they are comparable in the sense that there is no difference between risk between them show the investor choice will be government by their return only under perfect capital mobility assets can be purchased at zero transaction cost without any time. Difference in case in perfect capital mobility. There are restriction on movement of fund across national boundaries so that interest rate may not be equal.
i) policy under profit, capital mobility
In this case, the rate of return on domestic and foreign bond are equal that is r=r* the foreign rate of interest is uninfluenced by domestic policy
Explain the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy under perfect capital mobility and fixed exchange rate under mundel Flemming model ?
We assume two countries, India and USA There are two fiscal asset domestic bond with rate of return ‘r’and foreign bond with rate of return ‘r*’Under perfect capital capital mobility, there is no transaction cost and time lag so r=r* that is written from domestic bond equals to written from foreign bonds i) fixed exchange, fiscal policy:The initial equilibrium is achieved at point E1 the I S and LM curve intersect on the horizontal BB line, which shows due to perfect capital mobility, domestic rate of interest cannot go out with the fixed the foreign interest rate, expansionary, fiscal policy shifts IS1 to IS2 as the rate of interest goes up to r1 there is massive capital inflow investors purchase, huge amount of domestic bond. The exchange rate can be kept only if the reserve bank by dollar from the market in exchange of rupees. This action will increase domestic money supply, LM curve shift to LM2 domestic and foreign rate of return becomes equal once again, and creates maximum positive impact on output ii) fixed exchange monetary policy:And increase in domestic money supply shift the LM1 curve to the right to LM2 the domestic rate of return ‘r1’ shifts below ‘r*’this will create outflow of capital. Investors will sell their Indian bonds and demand for dollars to keep exchange rate. Fixed. RBI will sell dollars from eight stock. This will cause domestic money supply to fall, and the process will continue until LM shifts to original position under perfect capital mobility, and fixed exchange.
What will be the increase in government expenditure when the economy is in liquidity trap?
In this case, the economy runs with the minimum rate of interest – speculative demand for money. Get infinity elastic with respect to change in rate of intrest. Thus LM curve gets horizontal, initial equilibrium is as as point E0 with the expansionary fiscal policy, the IS curve shifts to the right at IS1 the level of output rises to y1 with the simple Keynesian multiplier effect the new equilibrium E1 lies on the LM curve show no adjustment is required. The crow out effect is zero when the economy is in liquidity trap.
Why LM curve is positively slope?
Interest rate is dependent variable of rate of income y for any LM curve as income increases transaction demand for money also rises. There is created axis demand for money in the money market. People sell out their bones in the phase of axis demand for money. There is created axis supply of bond in the bond market, eventually bond prices for and rate of interest increases so LM, curve is uprising rising.
Factor determining the slope of the IS curve
i) interest, elasticity of investment :
interest, elasticity of investment is defined as the degree of responsive of investment to a certain change in interest rate, if the interest elasticity of investment is high or small, drop in rate of interest will lead to a large increase in investment and correspondingly, a large increase in investment if the IS curve is relatively flat, investment will increase by a larger amount in respond to a fall in(r)
ii) the slope of the saving curve:
The slope of IS curve also depends on the saving function slope that is MPS. The higher the MPS. The steer is the highest curve. If the MPS is relatively high, then a small increase in income is necessary to generate the new saving. Then if the MPS is low.
Why LM curve is positively slope?
Interest rate is dependent variable of rate of income y for any LM curve as income increases transaction demand for money also rises. There is created axis demand for money in the money market. People sell out their bones in the phase of axis demand for money. There is created axis supply of bond in the bond market, eventually bond prices for and rate of interest increases so LM, curve is uprising rising.
Shifts in the IS curve
i) increase in government expenditure:
An increase in government expenditure raises the aggregate demand for currently produced goods and services and thus the goods market equilibrium is disturbed. This requires adjustment of the IS curve that maintains the equilibrium. In this case the intercept of the IS curve increases by the amount of increasing government expenditure, but the slope of the curve remains unchanged, so the IS curve shift, parallel, rightward from IS 0 to IS1 if the government expenditure decreases, then the IS curve will shift leftward
ii) increase in MPC and the IS curve:
An increase in MPC raises the volume of consumption at any disposable income consequently, the aggregate demand for the goods and service changes show the goods market equilibrium gets disturbed. In this case, the intercept of the IS curve increases, and the absolute slope declines Thus the IS curve shifts upward, getting flatter
iii) reduction or decrease in tax rate(proportional tax):Or decrease in the tax rate raises the disposable level of income for any given income level. This raises the volume of consumption and consequently, the aggregate demand for currently produced goods and services. Thus goods market will Librium is disturbed to maintain the equilibrium. The IS curve changes. In this case. The intercept with the vertical access remains unchanged, but the slope falls so theIS curve rotates, anticlockwise
Define IS curve, why is IS curve downward sloping?
The IS curve represent all possible combination of income and real interest rate so that the commodity market is in equilibrium at every point of the IS curve. The demand for the goods is equal to the supply of goods. The IS curve is negative slope if the rate of interest fall, the level of investment increases increase in investment increases, the output level through multiplier effect. So Y has to increase to ensure sufficient saving is generated to balance the new level of investment.
Investment
According to Keynes national income in a closed economy moves up and down due to change in components of aggregate demand, which are autonomous that is independent of income, according to Keynes there are two primary determinants of investment expenditure in the short run, interest rate and the accepted rate of written on new investment project, which is known as marginal efficiency of capital. If B assume that the interest rate remains constant in the short run, then investment depends on MEC only, is MEC depends on business acceptations. Show the investment has come uncertainty associated so in the SKM model investment is taken as autonomous and the investment demand schedule is horizontal straight line with slope. Zero this means fixed level of investment depends on all the levels of income.
Balance budget multiplier
By balance budget, we mean that a change in government expenditure is exactly matched by a change in taxes. Classical economist belief that a balance budget is neutral in the sense that the level of output or income remains unchanged.Keynes argued that in reality, its effect in income will not be zero. The expansionary affect of a balance budget is called balance budget multiplier. In this case on the increase in government spending is exactly match by an increase in taxes, resulting a net increase in income by the same, almost.
Suppose the government expenditure changes by TRIAN G due to increase in taxes by TRIAN T show income will increase by TRIAN Y.
TRIAN T/TRIANY= TRIAN G/ TRIAN Y=1
The value of BBM is 1 we can derive the value of BBM by,
αB=αT+αG
=-MPC/MPS + 1/MPS
=(1-MPC)/MPS
=MPS/MPS
=1
Government expenditure multiplier
Here we are considering three sector economy without tax rate
Y=C+I+G——(1)
C=a+by
I=_i
G=_G
So equilibrium national income
Y=a+by+_I+_G
Y=a+_I+G/1-b——-(2)
Initial level of government expenditure G=_G0
Investment, autonomous consumption remains fixed over the period initial equilibrium income Y0=a+_I+_G0/(1-b) ——–eq(3)
Suppose government expenditure changes by TRIAN G new government expense_G=_G0+TRIAN G
New level of national income,Y1=a+_I+_G1/(1-b)——-eq(4)
Subtracting eq(3) from eq(4) we get,
Y1-Y0= a+_I+_G1/(1-b) – a+_I+_G0/(1-b)
TRIAN Y=_G1 – _G0/1-b
TRIAN Y = 1/(1-b). TRIAN G
TRIAN Y/ TRIAN G=1/(1-b
So, αG= 1/1-MPC OR 1/MPS
Investment multiplier
In a two sector economy, equilibrium is determined by Y= C+ I ——(i)
Here, C=a+by
I= _I
Show equilibrium income is. Y=a+by+_I
=(1-b)Y=a+_I
=Y=a+_I/(1-b). ——eq i
Suppose initial the level of investment= I0
Show initial equilibrium national income Y0=a+_I0/(1-b)——eq ii
Now suppose investment increases by TRIAN I
New investment,_I1=_I0+TRIAN I
Show new equilibrium incomeY1= a+ _I/(1-b)—– eq iii
Subtracting eq ii. From eq iii
Y1-Y0=a+_I/(1-b) – a+_I0/(1-b)
TRIAN Y=1/(I-b) (_I-_I0)=1/(1-b) TRIAN I
Investment multiplier= TRIAN Y/ TRIAN I=1/1-,PC
Simple keynesian model
Assumption:
– demand create its own supply
– the aggregate price level remains fixed. This means all variables are real variables.
– the economy has excess production capacity
– the economy is closed economy
– all profits are shared
In the SKM model, the equilibrium condition can be expressed as y= E (i) y= total output, E= aggregate expenditure/ desired expenditure
Three sector closed economy y= E= C+ I+ G (2)
Since national output(y) also measures national income, we can write y= C+ S+ T (3)
Moreover, y is national output, so we can write y= C+Ir+g (4)
Where Ir= realised investment
It is the permitted investment which has been sold or disposed. It is the sum of plant and unplanned investment.
Comparing equation 3 and 4
C+ S+ T=y= C+Ir+ G
S+ T=Ir+G
S+T=I+G (since Ir=I)
Comparing equation 2 and 4
Y= C+ I+ G
Y= C+ Ir+ G
C+ I+ G= C+Ir+ G
I+Ir
Show that three condition are:
1.Y= E= C+ I+ G
2. S+ T=I+G
3. I=Ir
Simple keynesian model
Desire expenditure, Y = C+ I+ G
Actual output, Y=C+S+T
In Equilibrium I= Ir
Where I= desired investment
Ir= actual investment
Desired= actual + inventory
Change in inventory=TRIAN inv. If,IR>I =. TRIAN inv>0
Unintended inventory accumulation if, I<Ir =TRIANinv<0. = inventory storage.
Phillips curve long run
The long-run Phillips Curve (LRPC) is vertical, indicating no trade-off between inflation and unemployment in the long term. This curve is positioned at the natural rate of unemployment, also known as the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU). In the long run, inflation expectations adjust, and any attempt to reduce unemployment below the natural rate only leads to higher inflation without reducing unemployment. This adjustment process means that policies aimed at lowering unemployment through increased inflation are ineffective in the long run, emphasizing that the economy returns to the natural rate of unemployment regardless of the inflation rate.
Phillips curve short run
The short-run Phillips Curve (SRPC) demonstrates the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment, suggesting that lower unemployment comes with higher inflation and vice versa. Graphically, the SRPC is downward-sloping, with the unemployment rate on the x-axis and the inflation rate on the y-axis. This inverse relationship arises because increased aggregate demand boosts production and employment, reducing unemployment but also driving up prices and inflation. Policymakers can temporarily reduce unemployment by accepting higher inflation or curb inflation by tolerating higher unemployment, although this trade-off is influenced by inflation expectations and supply shocks.
High powered money
High powered money is the sum of commercial bank reserve and currency held by public. It is the base for the expansion of bank, deposit and creation of money, supply, high power money.=C+RR+ER
Money supply(M) consist of commercial bank(D) and currency(C) held by public does Money supply M=D+C
Dividing equation
And dividing numerator and denominator of both side by D
Removing the Inflationary Gap
To reduce or eliminate the inflationary gap, policies typically aim to decrease aggregate demand. Here are some common methods:
1. Contractionary Fiscal Policy
Decrease Government Spending: Reducing government expenditures can directly lower aggregate demand.
Increase Taxes: Raising taxes decreases disposable income, which reduces consumer spending and aggregate demand.
2. Contractionary Monetary Policy— Increase Interest Rates: Higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive, which reduces consumer spending and business investment.Reduce Money Supply: Central banks can use open market operations to sell government securities, thereby reducing the money supply and increasing interest rates.
3. Supply-Side Policies- While not directly targeting demand, improving supply-side conditions can help mitigate inflationary pressures by increasing potential output:
Improving Productivity: Investing in technology, education, and infrastructure can increase the economy’s productive capacity.
Labor Market Reforms: Policies aimed at increasing labor market flexibility and efficiency.
Causes of Inflationary Gap Increased Consumer Spending: When consumers spend more, aggregate demand rises. Government Spending: Increased government expenditures can boost aggregate demand. Investment: Higher levels of business investment in capital goods. Net Exports: An increase in exports relative to imports.
Currency, appreciation, and depreciation A rise in nominal exchange rate is known as depreciation of the domestic currency. This means more units of the domestic currency are required to buy one unit of foreign currency. A fall in nominal exchange rate is called currency. Appreciation of the domestic currency currency. Depreciation improves the trade balance by stimulating exports and reducing imports currency appreciation has the opposite effect.
What adjustment is required to arrive at net national product at market price from gross domestic product at factor cost?
To adjust Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at factor cost to Net National Product (NNP) at market price, you need to make a few key adjustments. First, add the value of indirect taxes, such as sales tax or VAT, which are not included in factor cost but affect the market price of goods and services. Next, subtract any subsidies provided by the government, as these lower the market price of goods and services. Additionally, to convert from Gross to Net figures, deduct depreciation, which accounts for the wear and tear on capital assets. This process will give you the Net National Product at market price from the GDP at factor cost.
Discuss the effect of expansionary, fiscal and monetary policy under imperfect capital mobility and fixed exchange rate rate? Expansionary monetary policy fixed exchange rate:
Under a fixed exchange rate regime, expansionary monetary policy is significantly constrained. When the central bank increases the money supply to lower interest rates and stimulate the economy, it leads to capital outflows as investors seek higher returns elsewhere. These capital outflows put downward pressure on the domestic currency. To maintain the fixed exchange rate, the central bank must intervene by selling foreign currency reserves and buying domestic currency, which effectively reduces the money supply. This intervention counteracts the initial expansionary efforts, making the policy largely ineffective in boosting economic output. Thus, while the central bank attempts to stimulate the economy through expansionary monetary policy, its commitment to maintaining the fixed exchange rate nullifies the intended effects.Expansionary fiscal policy fixed exchange rate :
Under a fixed exchange rate regime, expansionary fiscal policy, such as increased government spending or tax cuts, stimulates the economy by boosting aggregate demand, leading to higher output and income. This raises domestic interest rates, attracting foreign capital and putting upward pressure on the domestic currency. To maintain the fixed exchange rate, the central bank intervenes by buying foreign currency and selling domestic currency, increasing the domestic money supply.
Cost-Push Inflation:
Cost-push inflation occurs when the overall price level rises due to increases in the cost of production. Key factors driving cost-push inflation include higher wages, increased prices for raw materials, and supply chain disruptions. When production costs increase, businesses often pass these costs onto consumers by raising prices, leading to inflation. This type of inflation is typically associated with supply-side constraints, where the supply of goods and services is reduced or made more expensive, causing prices to rise independently of demand.
Demand-Pull Inflation:
Demand-pull inflation happens when the overall price level rises due to an increase in aggregate demand. When demand for goods and services exceeds supply, prices tend to rise. This can occur during periods of strong economic growth, where consumers and businesses have more income and confidence, leading to higher spending. Factors such as increased government spending, lower taxes, and easy monetary policy (e.G., low interest rates) can also boost aggregate demand. In this scenario, the economy’s production capacity is stretched, and the excess demand “pulls” prices up, leading to inflation.
Managed Float:
A managed float, also known as a “dirty float,” is a type of exchange rate regime where a country’s currency value is primarily determined by market forces but with occasional government or central bank intervention to stabilize or steer the currency. Unlike a fixed exchange rate system, where the currency value is pegged to another currency or a basket of currencies, and a free float, where the currency value is entirely left to the market, a managed float involves active management. This intervention can be in the form of buying or selling currencies, adjusting interest rates, or implementing foreign exchange controls to prevent excessive volatility and to maintain economic stability. The goal of a managed float is to combine the benefits of flexible exchange rates with the stability of fixed rates.
Low rate of inflation is good for economy. Give reason.
A low rate of inflation is beneficial for the economy as it ensures price stability, allowing consumers and businesses to plan and make long-term financial decisions with confidence. This stability preserves the purchasing power of consumers, maintaining their standard of living and encouraging spending. Additionally, low inflation fosters a favorable environment for saving and investment by offering higher real returns, which stimulates economic growth. It also provides businesses with predictable costs, reducing the risk of sudden increases and enabling more confident investments. Moreover, low inflation contributes to stable interest rates, facilitating better financial planning for both borrowers and lenders, further supporting
Explain the different possible slopes of LM curveThe slope of the LM curve, which illustrates the relationship between the interest rate and the level of real income while keeping the money market in equilibrium, can vary depending on several factors. A vertical LM curve indicates that the money supply is fixed and the demand for money is insensitive to changes in the interest rate, meaning income changes do not affect the interest rate. On the other hand, a horizontal LM curve occurs in a liquidity trap where the interest rate is stuck at a low level, and further increases in the money supply do not impact it. An upward-sloping LM curve is the most common scenario, where the demand for money increases with income, requiring higher interest rates to maintain equilibrium. The steepness of the LM curve is influenced by how sensitive money demand is to interest rates and how income changes affect money demand, with steeper curves indicating less sensitivity and flatter curves indicating higher sensitivity.
A fixed exchange rate system, also known as a pegged exchange rate, involves a country tying its currency’s value to another major currency or a basket of currencies. In this system, the central bank or monetary authority actively intervenes in the foreign exchange market to maintain the currency’s value within a narrow band around the pegged rate. This approach provides stability and predictability for international trade and investment, reducing exchange rate risk. However, it requires the central bank to use foreign exchange reserves to buy or sell the domestic currency as needed, which can be costly and limit monetary policy flexibility. As a result, the country may face constraints in addressing domestic economic issues, such as inflation or unemployment, due to the need to prioritize maintaining the fixed exchange rate.
A flexible exchange rate system, also known as a floating exchange rate, is where a country’s currency value is determined by market forces such as supply and demand without direct government or central bank intervention. In this system, the exchange rate fluctuates freely in response to changes in economic conditions, trade balances, capital flows, and investor sentiment. This allows for greater monetary policy independence, as the central bank can focus on domestic economic conditions without needing to maintain a specific exchange rate. However, the value of the currency can be more volatile in the short term, reflecting shifts in market perceptions and economic data.
