Key Economic Principles: Markets, Finance, and Policy
Economic Concepts: Farmers, Finance, and Trade
Farmers’ Challenges and Solutions
- Challenges:
- Protectionism
- Rising costs and taxes
- Environmental regulations
- Impact of drought
- Competition from food imports
- Solutions:
- Reducing chemical use for health and environmental benefits
- Protecting local products by limiting imports
- Simplifying bureaucracy
Exchange Rate Systems
Fixed Exchange Rate
- Pros:
- Reduces inflation: Prices do not rise quickly
- Maintains the value of money
- Provides stability
- Lower transaction costs associated with currency exchange
- Cons:
- Less control for countries over their currencies
- Risk of speculation
Variable Exchange Rate
- Pros:
- Automatic adjustment to changing economic conditions
- Greater fiscal freedom: Countries have more autonomy to manage monetary policy and make decisions
- Cons:
- Volatility: Fluctuations can make business and personal planning more difficult
- Potential Inflation: Prices may rise faster, affecting the value of money
Central Bank Functions
The Central Bank (CEB) is responsible for regulating the currency. This centralization helps maintain stability in the currency’s value.
Lowering Interest Rates
Lowering interest rates stimulates economic growth and job creation. Lower rates make borrowing cheaper, encouraging business investment and hiring, which can reduce unemployment and prevent deflation.
Central Bank Monetary Tools
- Monetary Policy: Adjusting interest rates
- Foreign Exchange Interventions: Buying or selling currency
- Maintaining Reserves: Holding foreign currency
Inflation and Economic Variables
- Money Supply: More money in circulation generates inflation.
- Interest Rates: Inflation influences interest rates.
- GDP and Inflation: High economic growth can increase inflation.
- Exchange Rates and Inflation: Changes in exchange rates can affect inflation.
- Interest Rates and Inflation: Central banks adjust interest rates to control inflation.
Disposable Income
Currency appreciation (e.g., Euro vs. Dollar) can lead to fewer exports, which in turn means less income and consequently less disposable income.
Demand for Money
Factors influencing the demand for money (dm):
- Interest Rate (R): As R increases, dm decreases (R↑ → dm↓)
- Inflation (∏): As ∏ increases, dm decreases (∏↑ → dm↓)
- GDP: As GDP increases, dm increases (GDP↑ → dm↑), indicating more production.
Financial Contracts
Forward Contract
Settlement can be in cash, based on the difference between the agreed price and the current market price.
Futures Contract
- Seller: Delivers the good in the future, receives a set price on the agreed date.
- Buyer: Receives the good, pays the agreed price on the agreed date.
- Clearing House: Acts as an intermediary ensuring contract fulfillment, compensating the injured party in case of default.
- Speculators: Seek profits by predicting price movements; they do not intend to deliver or receive the good.
Stock Price Scenarios (Options Trading)
Four common scenarios related to stock price and strike price in options trading:
- Stock price below strike price
- Stock price between strike price and strike price + premium
- Stock price above strike price + premium
- Exercise price equal to the stock price
International Trade Policies
Free Trade
- Advantages:
- Economic efficiency
- Consumer benefits
- Innovation and growth
- Disadvantages:
- Harm to domestic industries
- Economic dependence
- Negative environmental impact
Protectionism
- Advantages:
- Protection of domestic jobs
- National security
- Support for emerging industries
- Disadvantages:
- Higher prices for consumers
- Risk of retaliation
- Trade wars
Equilibrium in the Goods Market
Equilibrium occurs when the amount of goods and services people want to buy (demand) is equal to the amount companies are ready to sell (supply).
Currency Exchange and International Trade Relevance
An expansionary monetary policy, such as reducing interest rates or increasing the money supply, depreciates the domestic currency. This makes exports more competitive and imports more expensive.
The relevance of currency exchange rates in international trade includes:
- Pricing: A weak currency makes exports cheaper; a strong currency makes them more expensive.
- Competitiveness: A weak currency benefits exporters; a strong currency favors imports.
- Balance of Payments: Exchange rates affect the trade balance, and a favorable rate can improve it.
- Inflation: Fluctuations influence inflation; central banks adjust interest rates in response.
- Investments: A stable and favorable exchange rate attracts foreign investments.