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- What are the argument for and against the relevance of exchange rate risks
- Exchange rates are very volatile.
- The dollar value of an MNC’s future payables or receivables in a foreign currency can change substantially in response to exchange rate movements
- Investor Hedge Argument
- Currency Diversification Argument
- Stakeholder Diversification Argument
- List and explain the forms of exchange rate exposure.
- Transaction exposure: sensitivity of the firm’s contractual transactions in foreign currencies to exchange rate movements.
- Economic exposure: the sensitivity of the firm’s cash flows to exchange rate movements, sometimes referred to as operating exposure.
- Translation exposure: the exposure of the MNC’s consolidated financial statement to exchange rate fluctuations.
- What are the hedging transaction exposure techniques for hedge payables & receivables?
(Hedging payable):An MNC may decide to hedge part or all of its known payables transactions using:
- Futures hedge
- Forward hedge
- Money market hedge
- Currency option hedge
(Hedging receivable)
- Forward or futures hedge
- Money market hedge
- Put option hedge
- What are the specifications to be shown on the forward and future contracts?
- Currency that the firm will pay
- Currency that the firm will receive
- Amount of currency to be received by the firm
- Rate at which the MNC will exchange currencies (called the forward rate)
- Future date at which the exchange of currencies will occur
- What are the (a) revenue and (b) cost motives for direct foreign investment (DFI).
(REVENUE)
- Attract new sources of demand
- Enter profitable markets
- Exploit monopolistic advantages
- React to trade restrictions
- Diversity Internationally
(COST)
- Fully benefit from economies of scale
- Use foreign factors of production
- Use foreign raw materials
- Use foreign technology
- React to exchange rate movements
- What are the (a) incentives for and (b) barriers to DFI?
- Barriers to DFI
- Protective barriers - agencies may prevent an MNC from acquiring companies if they believe employees will be laid off.
- Industry barriers - local firms may have substantial influence on the government and may use their influence to prevent competition from MNCs
- Environmental barriers - building codes, disposal of production waste materials, and pollution controls.
- What are the strategies for reducing exposure to a host government takeover?
Strategies to reduce exposure to a host government takeover include:
- Use a short-term horizon
- Rely on unique supplies or technology
- Hire local labor
- Borrow local funds
- Purchase insurance
- Use project finance
- What factors are to be considered for multinational capital budgeting?
- Initial investment - Funds initially invested include whatever is necessary to start the project and additional funds, such as working capital, to support the project over time.
- Price and consumer demand – Future demand is usually influenced by economic conditions, which are uncertain.
- Tax laws – International tax effects must be determined on any proposed foreign projects.
- Exchange rates - These movements are often very difficult to forecast.
- Salvage (liquidation) values - Depends on several factors, including the success of the project and the attitude of the host government toward the project
- Required rate of return - The MNC should first estimate its cost of capital, and then it can derive its required rate of return on a project based on the risk of that project.
- What are the characteristics of (a) political risks and (b) financial risks; of country risks?
(a) Political risks
- Attitude of consumers in the host country - a tendency of residents to purchase only locally produced goods.
- Actions of the host government - A host government might impose pollution control standards and additional corporate taxes, as well as withholding taxes and fund transfer restrictions.
- Blockage of fund transfers - A host government may block fund transfers, which could force subsidiaries to undertake projects that are not optimal (just to make use of the funds).
- Currency inconvertibility - Some governments do not allow the home currency to be exchanged into other currencies
- Inefficient bureaucracy - Bureaucracy can delay an MNC’s efforts to establish a new subsidiary or expand business in a country.
(b) Financial risks
- Interest rates: higher interest rates tend to slow growth and reduce demand for MNC products
- Exchange rates: strong currency may reduce demand for the country’s exports, increase volume of imports, and reduce production and national income.
- Inflation: inflation can affect consumers’ purchasing power and their demand for MNC goods.